Freedom To Farm: A Comparison of What We Were Told To Expect and What Happened

2/2/01

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Table of Contents

Freedom To Farm: A Comparison of What We Were
Told To Expect and What Happened

Introduction

Premises and Expectations

Premises and Expectations

Net Corn Trade for China: Actual and Projections, 1994-2005

U.S. Corn Exports: Actual and Projections, 1993-2005

Prices peak before first crop year of 1996 Farm Bill

Low Prices Don’t Trigger Large Increases In Demand

Exports Not Affected Much By Price Changes

U.S. Share of World Exports

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Exports Not Affected Much By Price Changes

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Wheat Area European Union, and U.S. Price (1996=100)

Limited Ability To Adjust Production In The Short-Run

Indexed Crop Acreage and Price with Adjustments

Limited Ability To Adjust Production In The Short-Run

Limited Ability To Reduce Grain Production In The Long-Run

1999 Net Farm Income and Government Payments

1999 Government Payments as a Percent of Net Farm Income

1999 Net Farm Income as a Percent of 1990-1998 Average

Net Cash Income for 8 Major Crops

Government Outlays by Source, 1994-2001

So Expected Results Did Not Occur Because…

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