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Can
we build on agriculture's energy emphasis to create a full-blown
farm/energy policy?
What
a difference a few months make. A little over six months ago, corn
and soybean prices were the highest they had been in a number of
years and everyone was worried about whether or not we would have
enough to carry us through until the new crop was ready for harvest.
In that intervening period we have seen prices plummet to the point
where farmers in many if not most parts of the country will be able
to collect LDPs.
What happened? We went from a market dominated by the perception
of a potential tight supply situation to one that is facing a potential
oversupply as farmers report record or near record harvests. Once
again we are faced with the chronic problem of the modern agricultural
system. We have the ability to produce an abundance of agricultural
commodities. While this ability to produce in abundance is an important
element of providing food security for the world's population, it
often results in price and income problems for farmers.
After sequestering a stock level that could get us through a second-year
repeat of severely weather-shortened crop of last year should it
occur, one of the challenges of crop agriculture is to find alternative
non-food markets to soak up part of the productive capacity of agriculture
which, on average, exceeds food demand at profitable prices. Biofuels
is one of those alternative markets, with ethanol production taking
the lead. In recent years we have seen the development of ethanol
production facilities in rural communities as the result of tax
breaks offered by the federal government and various states.
This development fits in well with a longer term view of the world's
energy situation. In the long run it is clear that the amount of
oil in the earth's crust is finite and alternate sources of fuel
will have to be discovered. Ethanol and other biofuels have the
potential to provide some of that needed fuel, especially as conversion
technologies become more energy efficient. In contrast to solid
and gaseous fuel sources, biofuels also fit in well with the current
infrastructure that is designed to handle liquid energy resources.
Strange as it may seem to a generation that is used to pumping liquids
out of the ground to be refined into gasoline and diesel, at one
time one-third to one-half of all farmland was used to provide the
energy for the horse "power" that produced the food that
fed the nation. It was only with the advent of the gas tractor that
the farm became less important as a source of energy that fueled
the growth of this nation.
While crops like corn can be converted into biofuels, dedicated
energy crops like switchgrass, can produce more energy per acre
than can corn. Why then don't we see farmers changing over to the
production of switchgrass? They lack a market. Why don't energy
suppliers build plants that can convert switchgrass into biofuels?
They don't have a reliable proven source of raw material.
At this point we are in the classic chicken and egg situation. Which
comes first the production or the refineries? Fortunately, if we
put our heads together we can solve this problem. We also have a
source of funding that can be used to jumpstart this process. This
year we will undoubtedly be spending billions of dollars on LDPs
and other programs to support farm income. If that money were to
be used to provide incentives for some producers to switch from
the production of corn and beans, crops that are in excess supply,
to the production of a non-food crop that could be used for energy
production, it would be a win for everyone.
Farmers would win by being able to profitably grow a soil-holding
crop and, by reducing the oversupply of food crops, would receive
better prices for their traditional crops. Another environmental
win would occur through reduced pollution as a result of the reduced
use of fossil fuel. Taxpayers would win with the decline in government
payments and the nation would benefit from being less dependent
on foreign energy.
Can we build on the energy emphasis that agriculture already has
nurtured with ethanol and biodiesel to create a full-blown farm/energy
policy that makes eminent economic and political sense?
Daryll
E. Ray holds the Blasingame Chair of Excellence in Agricultural
Policy, Institute of Agriculture, University of Tennessee, and is
the Director of UT's Agricultural Policy Analysis Center (APAC).
(865) 974-7407; Fax: (865) 974-7298; dray@utk.edu;
http://www.agpolicy.org. Daryll
Ray's column is written with the research and assistance of Harwood
D. Schaffer, Research Associate with APAC.
Reproduction
Permission Granted with:
1) Full attribution to Daryll E. Ray and the Agricultural Policy
Analysis Center, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN;
2) An email sent to hdschaffer@utk.edu
indicating how often you intend on running Dr. Ray's column and
your total circulation. Also, please send one copy of the first
issue with Dr. Ray's column in it to Harwood Schaffer, Agricultural
Policy Analysis Center, 310 Morgan Hall, Knoxville, TN 37996-4519.
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